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Transaction volume highest in July 2009
Singapore, 17 August 2009 – Positive stock market performance over the past few weeks continue to fan the private residential market, driving islandwide transaction volume to a new record of 2,767 units. This is the highest monthly sales volume recorded since the series started in June 2007, breaking last month’s record of 1,825 units by some 51.6%. On a y-o-y comparison, this is an improvement of 206.8% (July 2008 saw only 902 units transacted). Unlike last month where the sales were mainly driven by RCR, OCR is the key driving force in July recording some 1,502 units or over 54% of total transactions.
Table 1: Total islandwide units (landed + non-landed) sold
Capitalising on the bullish sentiment, developers increased their supply by 75.8% m-o-m to 2,878 units in July 2009. Similar to sales volume, the total supply for July is also the highest monthly supply since the series started. The bulk of supply came from OCR at 1,856 units.
Table 2: Total islandwide units (landed + non-landed) launched
In the non-landed market (where the bulk of the sales is transacted), OCR region saw some 1,403 units transacted while CCR and RCR recorded 496 units and 748 units respectively. OCR is the only region which saw a startling 245.6% m-o-m increase in sales volume whereas CCR and RCR saw a decline of 2% m-o-m and 13.4% m-o-m, respectively. The sharp growth in the OCR was skewed by the big launches such as The Gale by Tripartite Developers Pte Ltd (subsidiary of Hong Leong Holdings) where 294 units were sold at median price of $696 psf, Meadows @ Peirce by UOL Development Pte Ltd sold 286 units at median price of $919 psf. Strong pent up demand for freehold projects in suburban area and affordable total quantum (smaller sized units) are the main driving forces.
For the CCR, after a drought of 11 months, this market was tested with a new project Volari at Balmoral Road by City Developments Ltd. The market responded well by taking up 93% of the 85 units released at a median price of slightly over $2,000 psf. Some other luxury projects sold in July (with more than 1 transaction) are tabulated below. Most of these projects saw an increase in the number of units sold and moderate improvement to the median pricing. As Nassim Park Residences and The Orange Grove had one transaction each in June, price movement comparison is not so relevant.
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle
Despite weak economic fundamentals, the private residential market continues to buckle the trend. However in terms of overall islandwide demand, take up rate of all properties has slipped to 96%, a contrast to the over-100% level that typified demand since Feb 09. This suggests that developers might have been too zealous with the overall supply when demand still remains fragile. Jones Lang LaSalle’s Head of Research- Southeast Asia, Dr Chua Yang Liang notes, “Unless we begin to record positive growth in the larger global and domestic economies (which we are seeing to some extent albeit still fragile), the recent spike in demand and prices if prolonged may cause asset driven inflation in the longer term, if wage increases do not keep in pace. While it is not clear if this trend is sustainable, we need to watch how the real economy performs next quarter, especially since the positive economic growth this quarter was driven largely by manufacturing and pharmaceutical output."
Chua Yang Liang
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